I recently came across a thought-provoking table purporting to compare the present and future of risk management and financial ratings (2009, Ontonix). Most of the predictions are illuminating. However, I doubt that financial risk analysts will migrate away from statistics and Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) models toward "model-free" methodologies (whatever that means). In fact, I predict that the use of statistics and MCS methods in financial risk analysis will expand in the coming years. Nevertheless, I find the juxtapostion of the conventional and future to be parallactically interesting and intriguing.
Watch what they do, not just what they say
1 hour ago